OSINT Time Series Forecasting Methods Analysis

Authors

  • Dmytro Lande National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute", Ukraine
  • Anatolii Feher National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute", Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.20535/tacs.2664-29132023.1.287750

Abstract

Time series forecasting is an important niche in the modern decision-making and tactics selection process, and in the context of OSINT technology, this approach can help predict events and allow for an effective response to them. For this purpose, LSTM, ARIMA, LPPL (JLS), N-gram were selected as time series forecasting methods, and their simple forms were implemented based on the time series of quantitative mentions of nato, himars, starlink and cyber threats statings obtained and generated using OSINT technology. Based on this, their overall effectiveness and the possibility of using them in combination with OSINT technology to form a forecast of the future were investigated.

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Published

2023-09-19

Issue

Section

Mathematical methods, models and technologies for secure cyberspace functioning research